GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 5/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Athlone Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

16.6%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownLWDWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Athlone TownDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Longford TownAthlone Town
43.2Attack32.1
58.0Defence59.3
45.7Form38.3
50.4Power45.4
1.15xG0.73
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