GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Londrina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Recife are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sport Recife

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LondrinaDWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport RecifeDDLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LondrinaSport Recife
42.9Attack41.3
49.2Defence69.8
31.7Form50.8
41.8Power56.3
0.80xG1.20
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