Londrinavs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Londrina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Recife are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00