Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Londrina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceara hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40