GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/16/2026, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lommel United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Charleroi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleroi hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Charleroi holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleroi

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

12.6%

Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lommel UnitedDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CharleroiWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lommel UnitedCharleroi
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.32xG1.60
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