Lommel Unitedvs
Charleroi
SCHEDULEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/16/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lommel United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Charleroi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleroi hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Charleroi holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charleroi
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
12.6%
Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60