GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 5/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotivi Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Liga 3, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotivi TbilisiDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Margveti 2006LWLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiMargveti 2006
31.4Attack33.3
56.9Defence37.3
39.2Form35.3
45.0Power37.6
1.30xG0.78
View match centre →