Lokomotivi TbilisivsGuria

Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guria are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 75.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.