GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 5/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotivi Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Betlemi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Liga 3, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotivi TbilisiLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BetlemiDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiBetlemi
31.4Attack19.6
56.9Defence23.5
39.2Form19.6
45.0Power24.1
1.65xG0.61
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