Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lokomotiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sogdiana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Super League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00