GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 8/7/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lokomotiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dinamo Samarqand are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and lokomotiv hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.3%

Model confidence

11.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LokomotivLWDDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo SamarqandDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LokomotivDinamo Samarqand
50.0Attack52.1
54.2Defence43.8
52.1Form43.8
54.1Power49.1
1.83xG1.28
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