GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 57.2-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 16.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LokomotivWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chengdu Better CityLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LokomotivChengdu Better City
77.1Attack11.1
66.7Defence11.1
77.1Form11.1
73.8Power16.6
3.74xG0.74
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