Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lokomotiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Noah are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20