Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Andijan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Super League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00