Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Akron are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Premier League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
13.5%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60