GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Sofia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Podbrezová are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Sofia hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Sofia

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Lokomotiv Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv SofiaLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PodbrezováLWLWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotiv SofiaPodbrezová
57.6Attack64.4
57.6Defence37.8
60.6Form53.3
59.9Power53.1
2.41xG1.51
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