GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Sofia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dukagjini are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Sofia hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Sofia

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Lokomotiv Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv SofiaWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DukagjiniWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv SofiaDukagjini
57.6Attack33.3
57.6Defence66.7
60.6Form50.0
59.9Power53.0
1.91xG1.15
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