GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/26/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Septemvri Sofia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 21.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv PlovdivLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Septemvri SofiaDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
16.7Attack16.7
58.3Defence25.0
25.0Form8.3
36.6Power21.2
1.42xG0.85
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