Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Septemvri Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/26/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Septemvri Sofia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 21.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20