GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 8/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dunav Ruse are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv PlovdivLLWLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dunav RuseLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
16.7Attack16.7
58.3Defence33.3
25.0Form0.0
36.6Power21.5
1.32xG0.83
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