GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arda Kardzhali are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv PlovdivDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Arda KardzhaliWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
43.3Attack56.7
70.0Defence66.7
53.3Form56.7
56.3Power60.8
0.94xG0.97
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