GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fakel U19 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Moskva U19 hold a 39.7-point power-rating edge (72.7 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Youth Championship, while Lokomotiv Moskva U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

66.3%

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv Moskva U19WWDWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fakel U19LLWLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotiv Moskva U19Fakel U19
91.2Attack38.6
57.9Defence31.6
71.9Form19.3
72.7Power32.9
4.39xG0.81
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