Bulgaria · Second League · 7/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Second League, while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60