Logan Lightningvs
St George Willawong
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Logan Lightning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Logan Lightning are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while St George Willawong are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and logan Lightning hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely result in the Queensland Premier League, favouring Logan Lightning with 9.3% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Logan Lightning
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
9.3%
Logan Lightning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60