Logan Lightningvs
Ipswich
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 7/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Logan Lightning are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ipswich are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Queensland Premier League, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ipswich
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
9.6%
Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20