GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 7/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Logan Lightning are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ipswich are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Queensland Premier League, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ipswich

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

9.6%

Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Logan LightningLWLLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IpswichDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Logan LightningIpswich
59.1Attack53.0
37.9Defence54.5
40.9Form53.0
46.3Power54.1
1.75xG1.92
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