GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/8/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olancho · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lobos Upnfm are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Olancho are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olancho hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Liga Nacional, while Olancho holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olancho

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

14.5%

Olancho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lobos UpnfmLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OlanchoWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lobos UpnfmOlancho
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
31.3Power64.8
1.03xG1.25
View match centre →