GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/15/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Roja · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lobos Upnfm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Estrella Roja are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Roja hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Liga Nacional, while Estrella Roja holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Roja

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

14.6%

Estrella Roja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lobos UpnfmDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella RojaWL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Lobos UpnfmEstrella Roja
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power56.2
1.06xG1.22
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