Lobos Upnfmvs
Estrella Roja
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/15/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrella Roja · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lobos Upnfm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Estrella Roja are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Roja hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Liga Nacional, while Estrella Roja holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estrella Roja
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
14.6%
Estrella Roja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50