Llantwit MajorvsBaglan Dragons

Llantwit Major are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Baglan Dragons are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Baglan Dragons hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (8.0 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the FAW Championship, while Baglan Dragons holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.