GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/20/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Llaneros are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LlanerosLLWDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente MedellinWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LlanerosIndependiente Medellin
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence57.6
43.9Form53.0
50.1Power55.9
0.89xG0.93
View match centre →