Llanerosvs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/4/2026, 9:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Llaneros are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.4% in the Primera A, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
20.4%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60