Llanerosvs
Deportes Tolima
POSTPONEDColombia · Primera A · 8/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Llaneros are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.5% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
21.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60