Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Llaneros are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cucuta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Primera A, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
16.9%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00