GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/26/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Llaneros are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Llaneros hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Primera A, while Llaneros holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Llaneros

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LlanerosLDWDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Alianza ValleduparLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar
33.3Attack25.8
66.7Defence50.0
43.9Form27.3
50.1Power37.0
1.11xG0.45
View match centre →