GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trethomas Bluebirds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

llanelli AFC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Trethomas Bluebirds are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Trethomas Bluebirds hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the FAW Championship, while Trethomas Bluebirds holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trethomas Bluebirds

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Trethomas Bluebirds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

llanelli AFCLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 24 · avg 0.60/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Trethomas BluebirdsDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
llanelli AFCTrethomas Bluebirds
33.3Attack16.7
16.7Defence83.3
16.7Form33.3
26.2Power48.3
1.49xG1.71
View match centre →