GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 7/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

llanelli AFC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Newport City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport City hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the FAW Championship, while Newport City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newport City

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Newport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

llanelli AFCLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Newport CityLLLLW

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
llanelli AFCNewport City
33.3Attack83.3
16.7Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
26.2Power59.3
1.56xG2.17
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