Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ljutomer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ljutomer are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 3.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dobrovce are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ljutomer hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (35.1 v 23.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the 3. SNL - East, while Ljutomer holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ljutomer
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
9.5%
Ljutomer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 15 · avg 3.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20