Livyi BerehvsChernihiv

Livyi Bereh are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chernihiv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (31.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.