Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
MediumconfidenceLivorno are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Empoli are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LivornoWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EmpoliDWLDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LivornoEmpoli
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60