Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
MediumconfidenceLiverpool are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Monaco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LiverpoolDLDLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
MonacoWLLWD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LiverpoolMonaco
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60