Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Liverpool are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Como are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
10.4%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00