GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/22/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool MontevideoLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing MontevideoWLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Liverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
37.7Attack42.0
66.7Defence72.5
46.4Form60.9
52.2Power60.6
0.65xG0.79
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