GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/5/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool MontevideoDDLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaldonadoLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool MontevideoDeportivo Maldonado
37.7Attack55.1
66.7Defence65.2
46.4Form60.9
52.2Power61.9
0.82xG1.03
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