Liverpool MontevideovsDefensor Sporting

Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.