GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Primera División, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool Montevideo

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liverpool MontevideoDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DanubioWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool MontevideoDanubio
37.7Attack30.6
66.7Defence56.9
46.4Form31.9
52.2Power41.8
1.07xG0.54
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