GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 6/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rochedale Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

88.2%

Model confidence

88.2%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rochedale RoversLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LionsRochedale Rovers
86.4Attack51.5
66.7Defence21.2
80.3Form31.8
77.2Power36.5
4.50xG0.85
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