Lionsvs
Perth Glory
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 7/21/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Perth Glory are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Australia Cup, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40