Lionsvs
Peninsula Power
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Peninsula Power are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20