Lionsvs
Magic United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Magic United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
88.6%
Model confidence
88.6%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60