Lionsvs
Eastern Suburbs
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 7/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
80.3%
Model confidence
10.3%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20