GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 8/7/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Mediumconfidence

Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and lions hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (76.5 v 33.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely result in the Queensland NPL, favouring Lions with 11.5% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

11.5%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsWDWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Brisbane Roar IIWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LionsBrisbane Roar II
87.3Attack49.2
65.1Defence20.6
79.4Form25.4
76.5Power33.5
4.50xG0.85
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