Lionsvs
Brisbane City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 3/28/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brisbane City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
82.0%
Model confidence
82.0%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80