Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Liniers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dock Sud are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Dock Sud hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80