GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 9/4/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linhares · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Linhares are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sport Brasil ES are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Linhares hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (81.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Capixaba B, while Linhares holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Linhares

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Linhares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LinharesLDWWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sport Brasil ESWLDLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LinharesSport Brasil ES
72.2Attack50.0
94.4Defence66.7
83.3Form50.0
81.9Power54.6
1.98xG0.97
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